Dinámica Histórica.
… Hegel and Marx thought of history as the growth of a tree that follow a simple progression toward some mature, stable end-point. Some writers (e.g. Fukayama 1992) have speculated that we are approaching the end of history, as the world seems to be settling into some ultimate equilibrium of global democracy and capitalism. Toynbee saw regular cycles in the rise and fall of civilizations History may instead be completely random with no perceptible pattern… Perhaps history is chaotic: it looks random in its workings, and yet it is not random at all.
Sergio Da Silva [Criticality].
¿Progresión aritmética, Geométrica, Cíclica, Infinitas Bifurcaciones, Aleatoriedad (¿Impredictibilidad?), Caos o Constante? ¿Es la Historia modelizable? Me recuerda la Psicohistoria de Asimov, se entrevé la cita de Rumsfeld: “Hay cosas que sabemos que las sabemos, otras que sabemos que no las sabemos y otras que ni siquiera sabemos que no las sabemos.”, prefigurando los cisnes negros.
